NVDA.NASDAQNvidia CORP

8-K: NVIDIA Posts Record Q4 & FY26 Results, AI Demand Soars

Sentiment:

Quarterly Report


NVIDIA reported record revenue for Q4 and fiscal year 2026, driven by exponential growth in Data Center and AI, with strong future outlook.

Better than expectedRecord quarterly revenue of $68.1 billion significantly exceeded previous periods and analyst expectations.Record quarterly Data Center revenue of $62.3 billion showed exceptional year-over-year and sequential growth, indicating robust demand.The strong Q1 FY27 revenue outlook of $78.0 billion, representing a substantial sequential increase, signals continued market strength.GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins improved sequentially, reflecting favorable product mix and cost structure.

Summary

  • Record quarterly revenue of $68.1 billion for Q4 FY26, up 20% from Q3 and 73% from a year ago.
  • Record full-year revenue of $215.9 billion for FY26, up 65% from a year ago.
  • Record quarterly Data Center revenue of $62.3 billion, up 22% from Q3 and 75% from a year ago.
  • Q4 FY26 GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) was $1.76, up 98% year-over-year, and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.62, up 82% year-over-year.
  • FY26 GAAP diluted EPS was $4.90, up 67% year-over-year, and non-GAAP diluted EPS was $4.77, up 60% year-over-year.
  • GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins for Q4 FY26 were 75.0% and 75.2%, respectively.
  • NVIDIA returned $41.1 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2026 through $40.1 billion in share repurchases and $974 million in cash dividends.
  • The company announced the NVIDIA Rubin platform, BlueField-4 data processor, Blackwell Ultra, Nemotron 3 family of open models, Alpamayo family of open AI models, NVIDIA Cosmos, and NVIDIA Isaac GR00T open models.
  • Strategic partnerships were expanded with Meta, AWS, Anthropic, Groq, CoreWeave, Synopsys, Lilly, Siemens, and Dassault Systèmes.
  • Outlook for Q1 FY27 projects revenue of $78.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, with GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins expected around 74.9% and 75.0% respectively.
  • Beginning in Q1 FY27, stock-based compensation expense will be included in non-GAAP financial measures.

Sentiment

Score: 9

Explanation: StockSavvy.ai views this as an exceptionally strong report, demonstrating NVIDIA's continued dominance in the rapidly expanding AI market, robust financial performance, and aggressive innovation roadmap.

Positives

  • Achieved record quarterly revenue of $68.1 billion and record full-year revenue of $215.9 billion, demonstrating robust growth.
  • Data Center revenue reached a record $62.3 billion in Q4 FY26, up 75% year-over-year, driven by accelerated computing and AI.
  • Strong GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins of 75.0% and 75.2% respectively in Q4 FY26, indicating efficient operations and strong product mix.
  • Significant shareholder returns in FY26, totaling $41.1 billion through share repurchases and cash dividends.
  • Introduction of advanced platforms like NVIDIA Rubin, BlueField-4, and Blackwell Ultra, showcasing continuous innovation and technological leadership.
  • Expanded strategic partnerships with major cloud providers (AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, Oracle Cloud Infrastructure) and industry leaders across various sectors.
  • Q1 FY27 revenue outlook of $78.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, indicates continued strong demand and growth expectations.
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities increased to $62.6 billion, reflecting strong financial health.
  • Cash flow from operating activities was $36.2 billion in Q4 FY26, a substantial increase from previous periods.

Negatives

  • Gaming revenue decreased 13% sequentially to $3.7 billion in Q4 FY26, attributed to channel inventory moderation after strong holiday demand.
  • Gaming supply constraints are expected to be a headwind in the first quarter of fiscal 2027 and beyond.
  • NVIDIA is not assuming any Data Center compute revenue from China in its Q1 FY27 outlook, indicating potential geopolitical or market challenges in that region.
  • Full-year GAAP gross margin for FY26 decreased to 71.1% from 75.0% in FY25, and non-GAAP gross margin decreased to 71.3% from 75.5% in FY25.

Risks

  • Global economic and political conditions could impact financial results.
  • Reliance on third parties for manufacturing, assembly, packaging, and testing of products poses supply chain risks.
  • The impact of technological development and competition could affect market position and profitability.
  • Challenges in developing new products and technologies or enhancing existing ones.
  • Market acceptance of NVIDIA's products or its partners' products is not guaranteed.
  • Potential for design, manufacturing, or software defects.
  • Changes in consumer preferences or demands could affect sales.
  • Changes in industry standards and interfaces may require costly adaptations.
  • Unexpected loss of performance of products or technologies when integrated into systems.
  • Ability to realize the potential benefits of business investments or acquisitions.
  • Changes in applicable laws and regulations could impact operations and financial performance.

Future Outlook

NVIDIA's outlook for Q1 FY27 projects revenue of $78.0 billion, plus or minus 2%. GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 74.9% and 75.0%, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points. GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are anticipated to be approximately $7.7 billion and $7.5 billion, respectively, inclusive of $1.9 billion of stock-based compensation expense. The company expects full-year fiscal 2027 GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates to be between 17.0% and 19.0%. The outlook does not assume any Data Center compute revenue from China, and Gaming supply constraints are expected to be a headwind in Q1 FY27 and beyond.

Management Comments

  • Jensen Huang, founder and CEO: "Computing demand is growing exponentially — the agentic AI inflection point has arrived. Grace Blackwell with NVLink is the king of inference today — delivering an order-of-magnitude lower cost per token — and Vera Rubin will extend that leadership even further. Enterprise adoption of agents is skyrocketing. Our customers are racing to invest in AI compute — the factories powering the AI industrial revolution and their future growth."
  • Colette Kress, EVP and CFO: "We specialize in markets where our computing platforms can provide tremendous acceleration for applications. These platforms incorporate processors, interconnects, software, algorithms, systems, and services to deliver unique value. Our platforms address four large markets where our expertise is critical: Data Center, Gaming, Professional Visualization, and Automotive."
  • Colette Kress, EVP and CFO: "We have strategically secured inventory and capacity to meet demand beyond the next several quarters."
  • Colette Kress, EVP and CFO: "Beginning in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, NVIDIA will include stock-based compensation expense in its non-GAAP financial measures. Stock-based compensation is a foundational component of our compensation program to attract and retain world-class talent."

Industry Context

StockSavvy.ai notes that NVIDIA's continued record-breaking performance, particularly in its Data Center segment, underscores the accelerating global investment in AI infrastructure. The strong demand for its Blackwell and upcoming Rubin platforms positions NVIDIA as the dominant enabler of the 'AI industrial revolution,' further solidifying its ecosystem leadership amidst intense competition from other chipmakers and cloud providers developing their own custom silicon. The shift to agentic AI and physical AI highlights a new frontier for AI applications, where NVIDIA is actively expanding its offerings and partnerships.

Comparison to Industry Standards

  • NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra delivers up to 50x better performance and 35x lower cost for agentic AI compared with the NVIDIA Hopper platform, according to new SemiAnalysis InferenceX benchmark results, setting a new benchmark for AI inference efficiency.
  • Leading inference providers, including Baseten, DeepInfra, Fireworks AI, and Together AI, cut AI costs by up to 10x with open-source models on NVIDIA Blackwell, demonstrating superior cost-efficiency compared to alternative solutions.
  • The NVIDIA Rubin platform is designed to deliver up to a 10x reduction in inference token cost compared with the NVIDIA Blackwell platform, indicating a continuous leap in performance and cost-effectiveness that outpaces general industry improvements.

Corporate Governance

Change TypeDescriptionEffective DateImpact Assessment
Non-GAAP Reporting Policy ChangeBeginning in the first quarter of fiscal 2027, NVIDIA will include stock-based compensation expense in its non-GAAP financial measures.First quarter of fiscal 2027This change will provide a more comprehensive view of compensation costs within non-GAAP metrics, potentially impacting comparability with prior non-GAAP figures but aligning with a foundational component of the company's compensation program.

Stakeholder Impact

  • Shareholders: Positive impact due to record financial performance, significant share repurchases ($40.1 billion in FY26), cash dividends ($974 million in FY26), and strong future outlook.
  • Employees: Positive impact due to stock-based compensation being a foundational component of the compensation program to attract and retain world-class talent, and employee growth driving operating expense increases.
  • Customers (Hyperscalers, Enterprises): Positive impact from new, more powerful, and cost-efficient AI platforms (Rubin, Blackwell Ultra) and expanded partnerships, enabling them to accelerate AI adoption and development.
  • Suppliers: Positive impact due to NVIDIA strategically securing inventory and capacity, indicating continued high demand for components and manufacturing services.
  • Creditors: Stable outlook given strong cash position and cash flow from operations.

Next Steps

  • NVIDIA will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share on April 1, 2026, to shareholders of record on March 11, 2026.
  • Cloud providers Amazon Web Services (AWS), Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure will be among the first to deploy Vera Rubin-based instances.
  • CoreWeave collaboration to accelerate the buildout of more than 5 gigawatts of AI factories by 2030.
  • Continued expansion of the NVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion ecosystem to include tier 1 suppliers, automotive integrators, and sensor partners.
  • Gaming supply constraints are expected to be a headwind in Q1 FY27 and beyond.

Key Dates

DateDescription
January 25, 2026End of Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026.
February 25, 2026Date of report and press release announcing financial results for Q4 and Fiscal 2026.
March 11, 2026Record date for the next quarterly cash dividend payment.
April 1, 2026Payment date for the next quarterly cash dividend of $0.01 per share.
First quarter of fiscal 2027Period for which financial outlook is provided; also when stock-based compensation expense will be included in non-GAAP financial measures.
2030Target year for CoreWeave to accelerate the buildout of more than 5 gigawatts of AI factories.

Recommendation

strong buy

NVIDIA's Q4 and FY26 results demonstrate exceptional growth, particularly in the Data Center segment, driven by insatiable demand for AI and accelerated computing. The company's robust product roadmap, including the new Rubin platform, and strategic partnerships solidify its market leadership. Despite some sequential moderation in Gaming and the exclusion of China Data Center revenue from the Q1 FY27 outlook, the overall financial performance, strong guidance, and significant shareholder returns indicate a company firing on all cylinders in a high-growth market. The stock is poised for continued appreciation.

Keywords

AI, Data Center, GPU, Accelerated Computing, NVIDIA, Financial Results, Earnings, Q4 2026, Fiscal 2026, Rubin Platform, Blackwell, NVLink, Gaming, Automotive, Professional Visualization, Cloud, Hyperscaler, Machine Learning, Deep Learning, Semiconductors

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